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The Crude Oracle

Premium · Trader Toolkit

Tools, matched to your trading approach

An oil market intelligence toolkit that converts physical flows, inventories, positioning and news into explainable market scenarios — decision intelligence, not another wall of dashboards. Pick the module that matches how you take risk.

Module 1live

Global Balance Engine

Fundamental / balance traders

The entire oil balance on one screen: OPEC and non-OPEC supply, sanctioned barrels, outages and SPR flows against refinery runs, China/India imports and OECD demand — reconciled through US, OECD and floating stocks, with an implied surplus/deficit read.

Open Global Balance Engine
Module 2live

Physical Flow Map

Physical / flow traders

Tankers loaded and discharged, destination changes, dark AIS gaps, floating storage, port congestion and freight — with explainable anomaly detection: why a flow is unusual (in σ vs its 30-day norm), which factors moved with it, and what it means.

Open Physical Flow Map
Module 3live

Futures Curve & Spread Dashboard

Curve / relative-value traders

Brent and WTI forward curves, M1/M2 through 6-month timespreads, Brent–WTI, Brent–Dubai and Midland–Cushing differentials, gasoline/diesel/jet cracks and freight-adjusted arbs — each marked cheap/fair/expensive, tightening/loosening, and supported or contradicted by the physical data.

Open Futures Curve & Spread Dashboard
Module 4live

News-to-Barrels AI

News / event-driven traders

AI-assisted analysis that converts headlines into estimated barrel impact: affected capacity in kb/d, the impact chain across crude demand, product flows, cracks and differentials, and an honest confidence grade with watchpoints.

Open News-to-Barrels AI
Module 5live

Positioning & Crowd-Risk Engine

Flow / momentum traders

Managed-money positioning from public CFTC and ICE COT reports, graded through a three-part crowding checklist — stretched positioning, structure confirmation, physical support — into an explicit liquidation-risk call.

Open Positioning & Crowd-Risk Engine
Module 6live

Trade Hypothesis Builder

Systematic / discretionary researchers

Structured, falsifiable research hypotheses built from dislocations between the modules: evidence with strength grades, explicit invalidation conditions, an evidence-weight confidence score and instruments to research. Never buy/sell signals.

Open Trade Hypothesis Builder
Module 7in development

Geopolitical Risk Matrix

Event / macro traders

Chokepoints, sanction regimes, election and OPEC+ event calendar with scenario impact ranges — the risk premium, mapped and monitored.

Module 8in development

What Changed Today?

Everyone — the decision screen

One screen that answers the only question that matters each morning: what changed, why, and which module saw it first. Dashboards report; this decides what deserves your attention.

Module 9in development

Nowcast Engine

Fundamental traders who can't wait for the EIA

Inventory and demand nowcasts ahead of official EIA/IEA/OPEC releases, plus an IEA-vs-OPEC disagreement tracker — with the nowcast error history published honestly.

Module 10in development

Scenario & Backtest Lab

Risk managers / systematic researchers

Monte Carlo scenarios for supply disruption, demand shocks and OPEC decisions, plus event studies: how did spreads, cracks and positioning actually behave around past inventory surprises, meetings and hurricanes?

Now 100% Free

Everything on The Crude Oracle is free

The paywall has been removed. The full dashboard, daily briefings, investment watchlist, company intelligence, every analysis tool and the $1,000,000 virtual portfolio are open to everyone — no card, no account required.

Not financial advice — capital at risk. All data labelled with source and freshness.